Thursday, February 5, 2026

Your January-March Weather Outlook

Date:

Information from The Weather Channel.com

The start of 2024 is expected to bring mild conditions to much of the West and North i​n a reversal from the first three months of 2023, according to the most recent outlook released by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2.

The table will be set this winter by El Niño. This natural climate phenomena tends to flip the temperature patterns in the U.S. during the winter – milder winters in the North and cooler than average winters in the South. You can see this pattern in the general outlook for the first quarter of 2024 above.

Here are some month-by-month highlights. Check out our complete deep dive here.

-All three months will feature a much above average start to the year in the Northwest. This is something that NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center agrees with.

-C​ooler than average conditions are most likely in the Southeast, but this may fade as we move toward spring.

-M​uch of the Southwest will see near-average to slightly above-average temperatures.

-T​he Northeast is likely to see a warm start, then flirt with average in February and March.

-T​he Plains will generally be above average.

Read our entire report and see all the maps here.



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